Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program – What does the Crystal Ball Predict for 2016?


Don’t hearken to this Podcast earlier than you learn the weblog I launched yesterday, April 13, 2016 entitled: Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program – How did we get right here? What each Momentary International Employee should know earlier than making use of? This weblog will provide you with important background info to arrange you for the insights I’m going to share concerning the Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program.

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This previous month, I had the chance to attend a lunch presentation Brad Trefan gave to our Canadian Bar Affiliation’s native immigration part in Calgary.  I’ll share my Prime 10 (fairly 9) AINP Highlights from his presentation and share my ideas on what this implies for anybody in search of to use for PR standing in Canada by way of the AINP.

Prime 9 AINP Highlights for 2016 because of Brad Trefan, Managing Director:

1.    Present Inventories

2.   Prime 10 occupations making use of to the AINP

4.   [yes….I missed #3] Why are the AINP refusal charges so excessive?

5.   What should you lose your job after receiving the nomination?

6.   Certificates wastage – why is it so dang excessive?

7.   IRCC difficult the AINP nomination.

8.  Standardization of the AINP program.

9.   AINP Participation in Specific Entry

10.  Anticipate the AINP to shut once more in 2016

 

[Tweet “What’s up with the Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program in 2016“]

Take heed to Mark Holthe’s Canadian Immigration Podcast

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Learn the Transcript

You possibly can learn further notes for this episode, [spoiler]

This Episode proceed ahead on the muse I laid with a weblog I wrote yesterday and posted on the Canadian Immigration Podcast web site concerning the Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program.

It’s entitled: “Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program – How did we get right here?

What each Momentary International Employee should know earlier than making use of!

This weblog will provide you with somewhat little bit of a basis for what I’m going to share within the Podcast immediately.

Within the weblog I lined a short historical past of how the AINP has been considerably of a love hate relationship for TFWs and their authorized counsel. I cowl the ups and downs of this system over the previous 10 years and actually lead as much as what I’m going to be speaking about immediately.

On this Episode of the Canadian Immigration Podcast, I’m going to be sharing some perception on the place the AINP is headed for this yr and what each TFW must know earlier than risking their future in Canada on a really unstable program.

However earlier than I get to this Episode I’d prefer to share a couple of experiences I had attending the CBA’s Nationwide Immigration Convention in Vancouver, British Columbia this previous weekend.

  1. Requested to talk on Specific Entry. Had the privilege of doing so with some superb associates:
  • Marina Sedai – Immigration Lawyer in B.C.
  • Kevin Zemp – Immigration Lawyer training in Calgary
    • zemplaw.com
    • Previous Chair of our Nationwide Immigration Legislation Part
  • John Acheson – Assistant Director, Everlasting Resident Program Supply, IRCC
    • Operations aspect of issues – the nuts and bolts (portal points)
  • Philip Somogyvari – Director – Specific Entry Coverage – IRCC
    • 10,000 foot stage coverage
      • discussions of adjustments to EE (crossing my fingers):
        • CRS factors for candidates with household in Canada
        • CRS factors of worldwide college students (CDN research)
  1. IRCC Minsiter John McCallum spoke to us and shared loads of perception into the place this system goes. As a staunch conservative, I have to admit that I’ve felt fairly conflicted with as a result of I really like Minister McCallum. In an upcoming weblog or podcast, I’m going to share a number of the highlights from that speech.

Nevertheless, if you wish to return in time and catch a snapshot of what the Minister shared and different insights from the assorted panels I attended, join with me on Twitter as a result of I tweeted repeatedly sharing vital insights as I listened to the Minister in actual time and as I attended different classes offered by my fellow CBA Immigration part colleagues. My Twitter deal with is solely @MarkHolthe.

Ultimately I’m going to get that weblog or podcast out. When you have a desire, simply ship me touch upon the CIP web site, or join with me on any of the assorted social media platforms I frequent (fb, LinkedIn and many others.). You can even observe me down on my agency web site: ht-llp.com.

Insights on the Alberta Immigrant Nominee Program for 2016 – Brad Trefan, Managing Director

This previous month, I had the chance to attend a lunch presentation Brad Trefan gave to our Canadian Bar Affiliation’s native immigration part in Calgary.  I’ll share a couple of highlights from his presentation after which on the finish of this weblog share my ideas on what this implies for anybody in search of to use for PR standing in Canada by way of the AINP.

  1. Inventories – The AINP had ballooned to 9000 purposes in August 2015 when this system was suspended. This quantity was lowered to 4700 by the point this system was reopened on January 27, 2016. As of March 23, 2016, the present software quota is sitting at 6000 purposes. The AINP receives roughly 40 new purposes every day.

[INSIGHT: Get your application filed as quickly as possible because the program will most certainly be suspended as applications continue to flood into the program. If 9000 was the trigger for suspending the program last year, you can be almost certain this number will be the tipping point this year. You can track the processing of applications on the AINP website: http://www.albertacanada.com/opportunity/immigrating/ainp-processing-inventory.aspx#2016maximums

Application Processing and Inventory– the AINP does not follow a first in first out processing policy across all streams. Instead of lumping all candidates into the same pool and processing on this basis, instead 20 processing officers spread out among the industry streams, which results in drastically different processing times depending upon the number of applicants in the queue.. If one has no applications, then an officer will shift to another streams.

Here is a breakdown of the volume of applications and corresponding processing times by industry stream:

Food and Beverage Processing Industry        Over 90           Feb 9 – 10, 2016

Foodservices Industry (Pilot Project)              Over 110         February 1 – 10, 2016

Hotel & Lodging Industry                                Over 80           February 9 – 10, 2016

International Graduate Category                   Over 2,550      June 2, 2014, and February 10, 2016

Manufacturing Industry                                  Over 40           February 4 – 10, 2016

Skilled Worker Category                                 Over 2,000      June 24, 2014, and Feb 10, 2016

Trucking Industry                                            Over 80           February 9 – 10, 2016

Compulsory & Optional Trades Category       Over 110         February 2 – 10, 2016

Engineering Occupations Category                Over 90           February 2 – 10, 2016

Post-Graduate Worker Category                    Over 750         January 28, 2016, and Feb 10, 2016

  1. Top 10 Occupations:
  • 6311 – Food Service Supervisors
  • 6211 – Retail Sales Supervisors
  • 6315 – Cleaning Supervisors
  • 7511 – Transport Truck Drivers
  • 6421 – Retail Salespersons
  • 0621 – Retail and Wholesale Trade Managers
  • 7284 – Plasterers, Drywall Installers and Finishers and Lathers
  • 0631 – Restaurant and Food Services Managers
  • 1311 – Accounting Technicians and Bookkeepers
  • 1241 – Administrative Assistants

What we have learned from these statistics is that the worst possible candidate for the AINP is an international student working as a food service supervisor

  1. High AINP Application Decline Rate – over 50% of AINP applications are rejected. The main reasons are that:
  • Candidate no longer has a work permit (can’t rely on nomination to get WP)
  • Down turn in economy, so employee has lost their job (may still hold a valid work permit)
  1. Losing a Job after the AINP nomination has been issued

– could be a problem

– must be able to demonstrate the ability to economically establish in Alberta

So what does an AINP officer do when you lose your job while APR is in process – if lose job officers have 2 weeks to work with applicant to defend the nomination with IRCC.

AINP Looking to see if the applicant is making an effort to maintain employment AND officers will also look at occupational outlooks from an economic perspective.

If an occupation has week prospects, then likely chances are not great that the AINP will allow the APR to go forward. However, if job is in an area of high demand, than much more likely AINP will continue to support the nomination.

However, if applicant is changing employers and going from a skilled , to a semi-skilled position, this could be a problem. However, if the demotion is within the same industry, there may be some leniency.

  • IRCC is turning applications down for people that don’t have worry

-slight increase in fraud, but just reflects people really want to stay – despite economic downturn

  1. High Degree of certificate wastage

Why?

Applicants are also applying under EE

– EE get’s approved and then AINP nomination is wasted.

-Federal Gov’t doesn’t let the AINP re-use the certificates

-having discussions to get around this with Gov’t

  1. IRCC challenging the nominations

– must demonstrate ability to economically  establish in the Province of Alberta

So if person is unemployed, how can AINP defend this situation if nomination issued 7 months and the person does not have a job

  1. Standardization of the AINP program in process

Modernization of data base

Proposals before minister on how they can better streamline the application process

Looking at online application forms – shooting for this to happen by the end of the year (2016) or 2017

  1. AINP Participation in Express Entry

–still looking at this and maybe 2017 enter EE pool.

-however, no enhanced allocation to the 5500, so this will impact in participation in EE

-if participate in EE without an increase to the 5500 allocation total, semi-skilled categories would lose access to PR. AINP is only pathway to PR for low skill workers. If a new EE category was created, then the semi-skill categories would have to give up some of their quota to create the new, skilled worker only, EE AINP stream.

Brad stated that Ideally – the AINP would like to get enhanced allocation from Feds before participating in EE.

  1. Expect the AINP to close again in 2016

Yes, gaining 40 applications per day, so is very likely we will have a pause.

So why a General pause versus only closing select industry streams?

Brad Trefan stated it’s the most fair solution because everyone is affected equally.

 

[/spoiler]

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